Steve Daines

A Republican official said the party will suffer avoidable losses "unless something changes drastically"

'We will lose winnable seats'

The battle for the Senate is set to hit a crescendo in the coming weeks as campaigns reach another gear and voters increasingly tune in after Labor Day. Republicans have long been the favorite to win back the upper chamber, but Vice President Harris replacing President Biden has further scrambled the playing field for both [...]

College athletes at the University of Montana are reportedly being offered thousands of dollars to make videos "spreading the word" about Sen. Jon Tester, emails show.

'Their whole schtick is ticking off Donald Trump'

The fight for control of the narrowly divided Senate centers on two red states and a slew of presidential battlegrounds.

White defeated establishment candidate Joe Fraser by a 9.2 percent margin after receiving many top endorsements from populist Republicans

The Morning Digest is compiled by David Nir, Jeff Singer, and Stephen Wolf, with additional contributions from the Daily Kos Elections team.Subscribe to The Downballot, our weekly podcast Embedded ContentLeading Off● Primary Night: We've entered the homestretch of the 2024 primary season, but as Jeff Singer details in our election night preview, there's still plenty to watch Tuesday in Wisconsin and Minnesota.Badger State Democrats have a competitive battle to decide who will take on freshman Republican Rep. Derrick Van Orden in an ancestrally blue southwestern Wisconsin seat that veered hard to the right after Donald Trump took over the GOP. This area, though, may not be lost to the Democrats. Van Orden only beat state Sen. Brad Pfaff 52-48 in 2022 after national Democrats canceled their ad reservations, while progressive Janet Protasiewicz decisively carried it months later in the officially nonpartisan state Supreme Court race.Van Orden is one of the last vulnerable House members anywhere in the nation who doesn't yet know the identity of his general election opponent. We'll all find out soon, though, if he'll be going up against businesswoman Rebecca Cooke, who took second to Pfaff in the last primary, or state Rep. Katrina Shankland. House Majority PAC has reserved millions in ad time to support whichever Democrat wins on Tuesday.There's more to see in the Upper Midwest on Tuesday. One Wisconsin Republican is about to find out if voters will nominate him after Trump himself told him to drop out, while the state GOP is hoping voters will approve two state constitutional amendments that would strip Democratic Gov. Tony Evers of key powers.Over in Minnesota, we're going to find out if Republicans are willing to gift the thumbs up to a far-right conspiracy theorist who, among other things, shared a map of public drinking fountains by writing, "Crime in Minneapolis...Out of control." You can find more on these races, and more, in Singer's preview.We'll be liveblogging the results at Daily Kos Elections on Tuesday night, starting when the first polls close in the Midwest at 9 PM ET/8 PM local time. Join us for our complete coverage!Senate● OH-Sen: The National Republican Senatorial Committee has canceled its entire $700,000 TV reservation for Ohio's Senate race, reports AdImpact, but an unnamed source soon relayed to Politico's Ally Mutnick that it would instead run so-called hybrid ads with Republican nominee Bernie Moreno's campaign.This arrangement, as we explained when Democrats ran similar ads in an Oregon primary earlier this year, allows the NRSC and Moreno to share the cost of advertising and take advantage of federal rules requiring stations to charge lower rates to candidates rather than the higher rates third-party groups face.These hybrid spots, though, are subject to more stringent content requirements than commercials from candidates or outside groups. Most notably, the ads are required to reference a political party writ large, as opposed to just a single candidate.This rule, however, won't be much of an obstacle in a red state like Ohio: With the GOP poised to do well at the top of the ticket, a message broadly attacking the Democratic Party will likely be popular. Conversely, don't expect Democrats to pursue a similar strategy, because Sen. Sherrod Brown is trying to win over voters who are prepared to back Republicans in other races, including Donald Trump for president.The NRSC also utilized hybrid ads last cycle, though it didn't work out well. Rick Scott, the committee's chair, insisted that hybrid ads would allow the party to get more bang for its buck, but critics argued it would unnecessarily restrict the kind of messages it could run. In the end, the Senate Republican caucus wound up shrinking a seat thanks to the GOP's loss in Pennsylvania.But the NRSC's new chair, Steve Daines, seems convinced that this particular element of Scott's strategy wasn't to blame and has forged ahead with a new onslaught of hybrid ads. One unnamed operative, however, seemed to acknowledge the limitations of this approach, telling Reese Gorman of NOTUS that the committee "is relying on [the Senate Leadership Fund] and other outside groups to carry the super PAC message in Ohio and Montana."Governors● NJ-Gov: Democratic Rep. Mikie Sherrill recently confirmed her long-reported interest in running to succeed termed-out Gov. Phil Murphy by telling Axios, "I'm strongly considering running for governor in 2025. I'd make that decision after Election Day."Fellow Rep. Josh Gottheimer is also publicly mulling entering next year's Democratic primary, though not everyone thinks either House member still needs to decide on anything. Politico's Matt Friedman wrote in June that both Gottheimer and Sherrill will each announce they're in after they're reelected in November even though they're already "all-but-running."The Democratic field to succeed Murphy already includes the mayors of New Jersey's two largest cities, Ras Baraka of Newark and Steven Fulop of Jersey City. The primary also features former state Senate President Steve Sweeney and New Jersey Education Association President Sean Spiller, who recently finished his stint as mayor of Montclair.House● NH-02: Former Executive Councilor Colin Van Ostern has earned the endorsement of SEA/SEIU Local 1984, an influential labor group that represents state employees, ahead of the Sept. 10 Democratic primary for the 2nd District.● NJ-09: Democratic Rep. Bill Pascrell was "rushed back to the hospital" on Sunday evening less than a week after he was discharged from a rehabilitation facility, the New Jersey Globe was first to report. The 87-year-old congressman's team did not initially provide information about his condition.The Globe also relays that local Democrats are now working to fill vacant seats on the local county committees in case they're needed to pick a new nominee should Pascrell end his reelection campaign. The story notes that Aug. 27 is the deadline for Pascrell to drop out in time for him to be replaced on the ballot, though judges have given parties extra time in the past. New Jersey's 9th District, which is based in North Jersey, favored Joe Biden 59-40 in 2020.● OH-13: The NRCC has released an internal survey from Cygnal that shows freshman Democratic Rep. Emilia Sykes with a small 44-40 advantage over Republican Kevin Coughlin in the race for Ohio's 13th District, a contest where we hadn't previously seen any polling.The memo for this poll, which was first publicized by the National Journal's James Downs, did not include 2024 presidential numbers. President Joe Biden four years ago scored a small 51-48 win in this constituency, which includes the Akron and Canton areas.● TX-18: Former Houston Mayor Sylvester Turner has released a list of endorsements from 30 of the 88 precinct chairs in the Harris County Democratic Party who will decide Tuesday who will replace the late Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee on the general election ballot. The eventual nominee will have no trouble in this dark blue seat, which includes parts of central and northern Houston.Turner is one of several notable names who are competing to succeed Jackson Lee in the next Congress. The roster includes two notable candidates who unsuccessfully challenged Jackson Lee for renomination: state Rep. Jarvis Johnson, who lost in 2010, and former Houston City Councilwoman Amanda Edwards, who failed to beat the incumbent earlier this year. The field also features state Rep. Christina Morales, Houston City Council member Letitia Plummer, and Corisha Rogers, who is a local party official.Obituaries● Steve Symms: Idaho Republican Steve Symms, an ardent conservative who won his Senate seat in 1980 by narrowly unseating the state's last Democratic senator, Frank Church, died Friday at the age of 86. The Idaho Statesman's Ian Max Stevenson has more on Symms' volatile career, including his narrow 1986 reelection win and his role spreading a damaging smear against Democrats in the 1988 presidential campaign, in his obituary.Poll PileMI-Sen: Siena College for the New York Times: Elissa Slotkin (D): 46, Mike Rogers (R): 43 (50-46 Harris in two-way, 48-43 Harris with third-party candidates)MI-Sen: Bullfinch Group for The Independent Center: Slotkin (D): 48, Rogers (R): 38 (48-43 Harris in two-way, 46-40 Harris with third-party candidates)PA-Sen: Siena College for the New York Times: Bob Casey (D-inc): 51, Dave McCormick (R): 37 (50-46 Harris in two-way, 46-44 Harris with third-party candidates) (July: 50-42 Casey)PA-Sen: Bullfinch Group for The Independent Center: Casey (D-inc): 51, McCormick (R): 39 (49-45 Harris in two-way, 45-41 Harris with third-party candidates)WI-Sen: Siena College for the New York Times: Tammy Baldwin (D-inc): 51, Eric Hovde (R): 44 (50-46 Harris in two-way, 49-43 Harris with third-party candidates) (May: 49-42 Baldwin) WI-Sen: Bullfinch Group for The Independent Center: Baldwin (D-inc): 50, Hovde (R): 41 (51-42 Harris in two-way, 49-40 Harris with third-party candidates) NC-Gov: YouGov Blue (D) for Carolina Forward: Josh Stein (D): 46, Mark Robinson (R): 36 (46-46 presidential tie with third-party candidates) NC-AG: YouGov Blue (D) for Carolina Forward: Jeff Jackson (D): 42, Dan Bishop (R): 40 NC Supreme Court: YouGov Blue (D) for Carolina Forward: Allison Riggs (D-inc): 42, Jefferson Griffin (R): 41Ad PileFL-Sen: Stanley Campbell (D)NV-Sen: Sam Brown (R); Brown and the NRSCPA-Sen: Dave McCormick (R) - anti-Bob Casey (D-inc)DE-Gov: Matt Meyer (D)FL-01: Matt Gaetz (R-inc)MI-08: Kristen McDonald Rivet (D) - anti-Paul Junge (R)MT-01: Monica Tranel (D) - anti-Ryan Zinke (R-inc)NH-01: Russell Prescott (R)PA-01: Ashley Ehasz (D) - anti-Brian Fitzpatrick (R-inc)Campaign Action

With months more of political spin ahead in the Jon Tester-Tim Sheehy U.S. Senate race, Lee Montana has partnered with PolitiFact. What do you want us to fact-check for you?

The former president’s campaign posted a video of him upon landing in which he said he was glad to be in Montana but did not mention anything about the landing.

Trump’s plane was en route to Bozeman, Montana, when it was diverted Friday afternoon to Billings, 142 miles to the east, an airport officials said.

Trump’s plane was diverted due to a mechanical issue but landed safely in nearby, according to a staff member at the Billings airport.

If Tester won’t tell Montanans what he thinks, all we can do is look at his record.

Legislation that would have boosted tax credits available to many parents failed in the U.S. Senate.

Endangered Species Act protection for grizzlies could end or be revised by January under a new FWS plan in response to demands by Montana, Idaho and Wyoming leaders.

Former President Trump and Republicans are facing a time crunch in their effort to define Vice President Harris to the electorate and nail down their message for the three-month sprint to November. Republicans are already showing signs of scattershot messaging in the early attacks on Harris, including for being a “DEI hire,” a talking point [...]

Some Republicans said Joe Biden must resign as president immediately after he ended his 2024 re-election campaign.

Here's how Republican Senators and members of Congress are reacting to the president's decision to leave the race just weeks before the Democratic Convention.

Republican lawmakers are demanding that President Biden resign from the presidency after he announced he will not seek re-election in November.

Republican Senate candidates are being encouraged to push for President Biden's resignation now that he has exited the 2024 presidential campaign, Axios has learned.Why it matters: Republicans are building a case that if Biden is unfit to run for president, he is unfit to serve as president."Being President is the hardest job in the world, and I no longer have confidence that Joe Biden can effectively execute his duties as Commander-in-Chief," NRSC Chair Steve Daines (R-Mont.) said in a new statement first provided to Axios."It is out of concern for our country's national security that I am formally calling on President Biden to resign from office."What to watch: Republicans are also turning to Vice President Harris. "It has also been striking that none of the Senate Democrats who served with Vice President Harris have called for her to replace President Biden," Daines said."This leads me to believe they think she is unqualified to serve as Commander-in-Chief," Daines concluded.Democratic Sens. Peter Welch (Vt.), Jon Tester (Mont.), Sherrod Brown (Oh.) and Joe Manchin (W.V.) have all called on Biden to step aside, but not resign. They also have not explicitly said Harris should take up the mantle.What they're saying: JD Vance also doubled down on Sunday, tweeting, "Not running for reelection would be a clear admission that President Trump was right all along about Biden not being mentally fit enough to serve as Commander-in-Chief. There is no middle ground."

A student at Harvard University was getting ready to address the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee Wednesday.Shabbos Kestenbaum has been vocal about Harvard’s handling of the fallout on campus after Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack and Israel’s subsequent war in Gaza.Kestenbaum, who identifies himself as a lifelong Democrat, says former President Donald Trump’s campaign asked him to speak at the convention about two weeks ago.“Nervous doesn’t begin to cut it,” he said Wednesday. “I think the largest crowd I’ve ever spoken to was maybe 1,000 people. This will be, I think, 10,000 in the room alone, not to mention the millions of people watching on TV, not to mention the former president of the United Stats in the room, as well.”Kestenbaum joined a lawsuit filed against Harvard alleging the school didn’t do enough to protect students. He said he is grateful for the opportunity to speak at the RNC.“When your freedoms, when your religion, and when your values are under assault, you must — must — stand up and fight back,” he told NBC10 Boston.The student says his speech is not about politics, but so much more. He said if invited, he would also speak at the Democratic National Convention.He says it feels surreal.“I’m just a college kid,” Kestenbaum said. “I’m a scrappy Jew from the Bronx, you know, what am I doing here?”More on the Republican National Convention2024 RNC MilwaukeeJul 17JD Vance delivers ‘America First' message at RNC and accepts party's VP nomination2024 RNC MilwaukeeJul 17Fact check: A look at ominous claims around illegal immigration made at the Republican convention2024 RNC MilwaukeeJul 16Haley, DeSantis backed Trump for president at RNC while Biden campaigned in Nevada

Sen. JD Vance appears on stage for a podium check at the Fiserv Forum before the start of the Tuesday session of the Republican National Convention.

MILWAUKEE — Senate Republicans were riding high after President Biden’s implosion on the debate stage in Atlanta — but they were soon confronted with polling showing Democratic incumbents leading in every single battleground state except Montana. The polling showing Senate Democratic candidates doing better than the beleaguered Biden in their respective states raised alarms among [...]

MILWAUKEE — Senate Republicans were riding high after President Biden’s implosion on the debate stage in Atlanta — but they were soon confronted with polling showing Democratic incumbents leading in every single battleground state except Montana. The polling showing Senate Democratic candidates doing better than the beleaguered Biden in their respective states raised alarms among [...]

MILWAUKEE — Senate Republicans were riding high after President Biden’s implosion on the debate stage in Atlanta — but they were soon confronted with polling showing Democratic incumbents leading in every single battleground state except Montana. The polling showing Senate Democratic candidates doing better than the beleaguered Biden in their respective states raised alarms among [...]

MILWAUKEE — Senate Republicans were riding high after President Biden’s implosion on the debate stage in Atlanta — but they were soon confronted with polling showing Democratic incumbents leading in every single battleground state except Montana. The polling showing Senate Democratic candidates doing better than the beleaguered Biden in their respective states raised alarms among [...]

MILWAUKEE — Senate Republicans were riding high after President Biden’s implosion on the debate stage in Atlanta — but they were soon confronted with polling showing Democratic incumbents leading in every single battleground state except Montana. The polling showing Senate Democratic candidates doing better than the beleaguered Biden in their respective states raised alarms among [...]

The rule requires oil and gas companies to stop methane leaks from wells and pipelines, while also ending intentional releases of methane and flaring.

The recent op-ed attempting to vilify the Credit Card Competition Act (CCCA) reads like a desperate attempt to preserve the status quo and protect corporate interests at the expense of small businesses and consumers. It's time to cut through the…

The bill was just the latest step by Tester to address the risk of foot and mouth disease to U.S. livestock.

The bill was just the latest step by Tester to address the risk of foot and mouth disease to U.S. livestock.

The top two concerns for Republican conference members are term limits and an approachable leader as the Senate GOP considers what they want in a McConnell successor.

The top two concerns for Republican conference members are term limits and an approachable leader as the Senate GOP considers what they want in a McConnell successor.

Sen. Bill Cassidy and the HELP committee to reveal their findings after investigating transgender participation's affect on female athletes.

Sen. Bill Cassidy and the HELP committee to reveal their findings after investigating transgender participation's affect on female athletes.

The NRSC and Chairman Daines filed an amicus brief with the Supreme Court on Tuesday in support of former President Donald Trump's claim of presidential immunity and his appeal of the D.C. Circuit Court's ruling.

The Supreme Court building in Washington.

The three candidates vying for the chance to unseat Democratic incumbent Sen. Sherrod Brown are Secretary of State Frank LaRose, state Sen. Matt Dolan and businessman Bernie Moreno.

Former President Trump and his allies are aggressively pushing back after Democrats and critics seized on his comments that there would be a “blood bath” if he loses November’s election. Trump’s weekend comments sparked outrage that the former president was threatening to unleash violence similar to the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol if he [...]

Former President Trump and his allies are aggressively pushing back after Democrats and critics seized on his comments that there would be a “blood bath” if he loses November’s election. Trump’s weekend comments sparked outrage that the former president was threatening to unleash violence similar to the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol if he [...]

Former President Trump and his allies are aggressively pushing back after Democrats and critics seized on his comments that there would be a “blood bath” if he loses November’s election. Trump’s weekend comments sparked outrage that the former president was threatening to unleash violence similar to the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol if he [...]

Former President Trump and his allies are aggressively pushing back after Democrats and critics seized on his comments that there would be a “blood bath” if he loses November’s election. Trump’s weekend comments sparked outrage that the former president was threatening to unleash violence similar to the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol if he [...]

'forced to pay for illegal migrants'

Sen. Thom Tillis is introducing two bills aimed at sanctuary jurisdictions, with one providing a pathway for people to sue sanctuary cities if they have been victims of crimes perpetrated by illegal immigrants.

The outcome of Montana’s Senate race is thought to be one of the main predictors of which party controls the Senate following November’s election.

Former President Trump on Monday announced that he is supporting former Rep. Mike Rogers (R) in the Michigan Senate race, giving him a major primary boost. Rogers is widely considered the favorite in the race, and Trump’s endorsement only helps cement that. The former congressman is looking to top a crowded field that includes a [...]

Former President Trump on Monday announced that he is supporting former Rep. Mike Rogers (R) in the Michigan Senate race, giving him a major primary boost. Rogers is widely considered the favorite in the race, and Trump’s endorsement only helps cement that. The former congressman is looking to top a crowded field that includes a [...]

Former President Trump on Monday announced that he is supporting former Rep. Mike Rogers (R) in the Michigan Senate race, giving him a major primary boost. Rogers is widely considered the favorite in the race, and Trump’s endorsement only helps cement that. The former congressman is looking to top a crowded field that includes a [...]

Former President Trump on Monday announced that he is supporting former Rep. Mike Rogers (R) in the Michigan Senate race, giving him a major primary boost. Rogers is widely considered the favorite in the race, and Trump’s endorsement only helps cement that. The former congressman is looking to top a crowded field that includes a [...]

Republicans are gearing up for what is likely to be an epic showdown for control of the Senate. Here are six key Senate seats Republicans look to flip in 2024.